Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.487594 0.536579 0.589209 0.650101 0.718782 0.794050 0.883047
2025-10-26 0.408953 0.476904 0.555249 0.652858 0.772041 0.913898 1.097114
2025-11-02 0.365013 0.442450 0.536081 0.658843 0.817356 1.017618 1.293772
2025-11-09 0.325082 0.405792 0.506999 0.645066 0.831396 1.078370 1.437770
2025-11-16 0.301731 0.386475 0.496214 0.651332 0.869237 1.171116 1.633154
2025-11-23 0.278704 0.364822 0.479421 0.646419 0.889322 1.239182 1.799395
2025-11-30 0.262184 0.350111 0.470099 0.649986 0.920360 1.324519 2.000627
2025-12-07 0.244126 0.331609 0.453601 0.641054 0.931019 1.378966 2.158397
2025-12-14 0.228560 0.315337 0.438766 0.632791 0.941072 1.432304 2.319746
2025-12-21 0.211036 0.294967 0.416343 0.610838 0.926985 1.444329 2.409907
2025-12-28 0.203946 0.289377 0.415327 0.621736 0.966385 1.548523 2.678581
2026-01-04 0.197009 0.283479 0.413279 0.630545 1.002704 1.650711 2.957630
2026-01-11 0.189262 0.275995 0.408457 0.634744 1.032098 1.744923 3.238225
2026-01-18 0.181778 0.268463 0.403042 0.637485 1.059144 1.837898 3.531667
2026-01-25 0.175572 0.262521 0.399695 0.643299 1.091975 1.945118 3.872614
2026-02-01 0.166053 0.250716 0.385988 0.629914 1.087811 1.979192 4.056584
2026-02-08 0.160997 0.245843 0.383427 0.636002 1.120888 2.091556 4.439772
2026-02-15 0.154330 0.237944 0.375251 0.631229 1.132277 2.160055 4.729760
2026-02-22 0.149587 0.232975 0.371743 0.634694 1.160141 2.266567 5.133766
2026-03-01 0.143128 0.224779 0.362157 0.626016 1.162458 2.317200 5.402167
2026-03-08 0.137205 0.217210 0.353252 0.617986 1.165335 2.369290 5.684285
2026-03-15 0.129577 0.206369 0.337987 0.596652 1.138299 2.349478 5.762578
2026-03-22 0.127265 0.204649 0.338988 0.607243 1.180706 2.498031 6.355296